Evidence-bound models of conflict-zone systems
Create controlled, evidence-bound models for legal, humanitarian, evidentiary, policy, donor, research, and civilian-protection analysis. Every twin carries provenance, contradictions, and a release-gate posture.
Evidence
Claim nodes and source trails. Provenance, ECS, contradictions.
Ten governed twin types
Each twin is a structured model with declared inputs, outputs, and a safety boundary. Twins are scoped to a mission contract and never leak across organizations.
Evidence Twin
Models every claim, source, contradiction, provenance chain, and confidence score.
- Claim graph
- Evidence register
- Contradiction map
- Source lineage
- ECS
- CE
- SSI
- DRI
Legal Case Twin
Models case theory, evidence elements, missing proof, witness classes, legal theories, contradiction risk, and attorney-review readiness.
- Fact matrix
- Legal issue map
- Missing proof register
- Chain-of-custody view
- Review packet
Atrocity Pattern Twin
Models recurring patterns across incidents involving civilians, hospitals, schools, children, detainees, displaced populations, protected infrastructure, and humanitarian access.
- Pattern matrix
- Incident cluster map
- Evidence gaps
- Legal relevance
- Public-proof summary
Civilian Harm Twin
Models risk to children, hospitals, schools, refugees, detainees, survivors, medical systems, displaced populations, and vulnerable groups.
- Civilian-risk bands
- Affected-population profile
- Humanitarian risk memo
- Mitigation recommendations
Displacement Twin
Models population movement, border pressure, camp stress, service gaps, documentation gaps, and NGO coverage.
- Displacement map
- Service-gap matrix
- Aid pressure forecast
- Coordination brief
Infrastructure Twin
Models power, water, hospitals, shelters, telecoms, roads, schools, orphanages, medical supply chains, and service continuity.
- Infrastructure damage summary
- Restoration priority
- Humanitarian dependency map
- Legal relevance flags
Narrative Twin
Models misinformation, propaganda, hostile framing, media manipulation, source confusion, and public claim drift.
- Narrative-risk memo
- Contradiction register
- Public correction package
- Media-safe talking points
Aid Allocation Twin
Models resources, needs, delivery constraints, partner reliability, duplication, funding gaps, and program feasibility.
- Aid-priority matrix
- Donor allocation memo
- Duplication detector
- Feasibility summary
Donor Impact Twin
Models grant proposals, intervention value, measurable outcomes, execution risk, public reporting, and long-term capability transfer.
- Grant-readiness score
- Risk-adjusted allocation table
- Donor report
- Impact measurement plan
Adversarial System Twin
Models institutions, armed groups, state actors, propaganda networks, financing routes, policy chains, public command structures, and legal exposure pathways for lawful legal, policy, human-rights, and research analysis.
- Research graph
- Source map
- Legal exposure pathway
- Narrative map
- Contradiction flags
- Public-source confidence
Configure a twin under your mission contract
Branched scenarios from a single twin
MPPT-CoT spawns parallel reasoning branches against the twin. Each branch declares its evidence basis, assumptions, contradictions, falsifier, and release status.
| Scenario | Evidence Basis | Assumption | Contradictions | Falsifier | Probability | Severity | Humanitarian | Legal | Narrative | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC-014-A | WHO + OCHA + MSF | Access remains restricted | 2 | Corridor reopens 72h | High | Severe | Pediatric ward collapse risk | IHL Art. 18 attack on medical units | High | Review |
| SC-014-B | WHO + ICJ docket | Pattern continues 30 days | 1 | Verified de-escalation | Moderate | High | Service continuity below threshold | Rome Statute Art. 8(2)(b)(ix) | Moderate | Internal |
| SC-014-C | Verified media | Single incident not pattern | 4 | Second corroboration absent | Low | Moderate | Localized impact | Insufficient evidence for charge | High | Quarantine |
| SC-014-D | OCHA + State media | Official narrative accurate | 5 | Geolocation mismatch | Low | Low | No additional harm path | No new legal exposure | High | Quarantine |
| SC-014-E | Coalition NGOs | Aid corridor degrades | 0 | Stable delivery 14 days | Moderate | High | Camp stress, water gap | IHRL right-to-health pathway | Low | Review |
Ten methods running against the twin
Seven illustrative twins
Model civilian harm after repeated attacks on medical infrastructure.
Build a legal case twin for a documented detention abuse pattern.
Compare NGO field reports against a conflict theater vector store.
Model displacement pressure along a border region.
Create a narrative twin for disinformation around civilian casualties.
Build an aid allocation twin for donor prioritization.
Create an evidence twin from uploaded reports and OSINT captures.
Lawful research and protection only
Digital twins are restricted to lawful humanitarian, legal, evidentiary, policy, donor, research, and civilian-protection work. The system must not produce tactical targeting, weapons guidance, evasion pathways, operational harm instructions, or private surveillance.