Case outcome prediction, risk assessment, and scenario modeling
Predicts probabilities of conviction/acquittal for specific war crimes and crimes against humanity charges in ICC cases, incorporating precedent, evidence strength, and geopolitical factors.
Models likely sentencing outcomes (years, penalties) for various crimes by mining ICC and national court sentencing precedents, controlling for crime gravity, perpetrator role, and mitigating/aggravating factors.
Ranks actors by statistical likelihood of command liability based on operational logs, entity-event mappings, and historical 'pattern of conduct' analysis; highlights likely prosecutable individuals.
Generates interactive scenario trees simulating legal, political, and evidentiary developments, including cross-jurisdictional risks (e.g., new evidence, arrest warrants, political shifts).
Forecasts when, where, and why arrest/sanction/enforcement bottlenecks will arise in international proceedings; models political/legislative veto risk, extradition refusal, and evidence admissibility breakdown.
Maps current case evidence to required statutory and procedural standards, highlights chain-of-custody, or corroboration gaps, and forecasts risk of failure at motion, trial, or appeal.
Simulates downstream advocacy, public opinion, and governmental response to possible outcomes in high-impact war crimes prosecutions (e.g., genocide claim upheld/denied).
Computes the expected reach, effectiveness, and response strategies for sanctions/asset freezes triggered by investigative progress or legal filings; models likely evasion tactics and enforcement leakage.
Predicts and compares sentencing patterns across national and international jurisdictions for related charges, controlling for crime classification, precedent, and policy changes.
Optimizes prosecution timelines based on case milestones, resource availability, court calendars, and witness availability schedules.
Predicts witness reliability and credibility based on historical testimony patterns, corroboration analysis, and cross-examination vulnerability assessment.
Assesses the risk of evidence tampering or destruction based on custody patterns, access logs, and threat intelligence.
Analyzes judicial decision patterns to detect potential bias in rulings, sentencing, and procedural decisions across different case types and parties.
Predicts the likelihood of appeal success based on grounds, precedent, appellate court patterns, and procedural compliance.
Optimizes plea bargain strategies by modeling potential outcomes, sentence reductions, and cooperation benefits.
Forecasts legal costs for prosecution or defense based on case complexity, duration estimates, and resource requirements.
Predicts the impact of media coverage on case proceedings, public opinion, and witness safety.
Predicts the likelihood and nature of diplomatic interventions in war crimes proceedings based on political analysis and historical patterns.
Optimizes allocation of prosecution resources across multiple cases or case phases based on priority, complexity, and expected outcomes.
Predicts witness availability and reliability over time, accounting for security risks, health factors, and potential changes in cooperation.